2011 College Football: Predict your team's wins and losses!

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Big Bear
majinsuperdustin
CreedP
VelaCards
njbrock22
Matt
do0shebag55
Commissioner D2
Rein

[Queensryche]

Like I did last year, I will be predicting Penn State's wins and losses. Feel free to predict for your team as well!

Already played:
Sept 3 - vs. Indiana State (Win)
Sept 10 - vs. #2 Alabama (Loss)
Sept 17 - @ Temple (Win, but barely)

To be played:
Sept 24 - vs. Eastern Michigan (2nd CUPCAKE! helping. Win)
Oct 1 - @ Indiana (Win. Maybe.)
Oct 8 - vs. Iowa (Loss, because Penn State can barely beat Temple)
Oct 15 - vs. Purdue (Win)
Oct 22 - @ Northwestern (Loss)
Oct 29 - vs. Illinois (Win)
Nov 12 - vs. #10 Nebraska (Begins to go REALLY downhill from here. Loss)
Nov 19 - @ #18 Ohio State (PSU almost never wins in Columbus. Loss)
Nov 26 - @ #11 Wisconsin (Murder in Madison. Loss)

So I see PSU going 6-6

[BigPimpin]

UD Schedule

Sept. 3    at Navy - W
Sept. 10   West Chester - W
Sept. 17   Delaware State - W
Sept. 24   *Old Dominion - W
Oct. 1    at *Maine - W
Oct. 8    *William & Mary - L
Oct. 15   *Massachusetts - W
Oct. 22   at *Rhode Island - W
Oct. 29   at *Towson    7 p.m. - W
Nov. 12   *Richmond - W
Nov. 19    at *Villanova - W (eff 'nova)
Nov. 26   NCAA FCS Tournament 1st Round   tba   - W
Dec. 3   NCAA FCS Tournament 2nd Round   tba   - W
Dec. 10   NCAA FCS Tournament Quarterfinals   tba   TV: ESPN Networks - W
Dec. 16-17   NCAA FCS Tournament Semifinals   tba   TV: ESPN Networks - W
Jan. 7   NCAA FCS Championship - W

Your 1-AA Champions, The Delaware Blue Hens. 

[njbrock22]

the teams i follow:

    Vandy

Sept 3 vs Elon(Cupcake, 1-0)
Sept 10 vs Connecticut(tough but winnable, 2-0)
Sept 17 vs Ole Miss(should be an easy win 3-0[1-0])
Sept 24  @ South Carolina(well crap... 3-1[1-1])
Oct 8     @ Alabama(son of a... 3-2[1-2]
Oct 15  vs Georgia(we always do good against the Dawgs 4-2[2-2])
Oct 22  vs Army(should be a win, 5-2)
Oct 29  vs Arkansas(oi... tough game but a loss... 5-3[2-3])
Nov 5     @ Florida(winnable... but Florida pulls out the magic and wins  5-4[2-4])
Nov 12  vs Kentucky(by god we better win this one... 6-4[3-4])
Nov 19  @ Tennessee(win  7-4[4-4])
Nov 26  @ Wake Forest(depends on which of each team shows up... but i'll say a win for now  8-4)

final standings  8-4[4-4] probably 3rd in the SEC East.

    Indiana

Sept 3  vs Ball State*(Win,  1-0)
Sept 10  vs Virginia(SHOULD win have had problems with them in the past  2-0)
Sept 17  vs South Carolina State(win  3-0)
Sept 24  @ North Texas(win  4-0)
Oct 1    vs Penn State(First stumbling block... 4-1[0-1])
Oct 8    vs Illinois(should win, 5-1[1-1])
Oct 15  @ Wisconsin(no way should we win this one...  5-2[1-2])
Oct 22  @ Iowa(can win this one... will we... i say yes, 6-2[2-2])
Oct 29  vs Northwestern(oh boy if we can win this... i'll be happy 7-2[3-2])
Nov 5     @ Ohio State(the CHANCE is here to win this one... but i see the buckeyes pull it out  7-3[3-3])
Nov 19  @ Michigan State(should win... may win... but we won't... 7-4[3-4])
Nov 26  vs Purdue(will win this one 8-4[4-4])

final standings  8-4[4-4]  4th in the South(no i'm not gonna call it it's dumb name.)

   Boise
Sept 3  @ Georgia(will be a good game, but Boise SHOULD Win  1-0)
Sept 16  @ Toledo(easy win  2-0)
Sept 24  vs Tulsa(another easy win 3-0)
Oct 1    vs Nevada(The Broncos will get revenge for last year 4-0)
Oct 7    @ Fresno State(5-0)
Oct 15  @ Colorado State(win, 6-0[1-0])
Oct 22  vs Air Force(win, 7-0[2-0])
Nov 5     @ UNLV(win, 8-0[3-0]
Nov 12  vs TCU(game of the year, Boise should win and pretty much seal a BCS bowl game here, 9-0[4-0])
Nov 19  @ San Diego State(win, 10-0[5-0])
Nov 26  vs Wyoming(easy win, 11-0[6-0])
Dec 3     vs New Mexico(VERY EASY WIN, 12-0[7-0])

final standings:  12-0[7-0] Mountain West champs, BCS Bowl game, will get screwed out of the national title game by the BCS poll... seriously just use my idea from the other topic NCAA...

N.J.

[BigJohnStudd]

My predictions (although we already played 1)
Iowa has the most favorable schedule in the Big Ten, we will do good this year because no one expects us to do well, because of last years dissapointment. The analysts in ESPN/SI and BTN all put the big ten at 3rd/2nd in the Legends.

Sept 3 vs Tennessee Tech W 34-7 (already played it but no one thought Iowa was going to lose) 1-0
Sept 10 @ Iowa State We win this one, but at least Iowa State puts up a fight 2-0
Sept 17 vs Pittsburgh We win but me make a slip up or two 3-0
Sept 24 vs Louisiana-Monroe Cake walk game we win 4-0
Oct 8 @ Penn State The Frustration of Penn St. continues we win 5-0
Oct 15 vs Northwestern We break the streak of being beat, we win 6-0
Oct 22 vs Indiana No problem with the win 7-0
Oct 29 @ Minnesota We get revenge from last years blunder 8-0
Nov 5 vs Michigan It is a high scoring game but we win 9-0
Nov 12 vs Michigan State We slip up and get beat 9-1
Nov 19 @ Purdue No problem man, our second easiest conference game 10-1
Nov 25 @ Nebraska We lose, too much great D, in Lincoln.... 10-2
 
I can see Michigan beating us at home and then we win at home against Mich. State but we only lose one of the two.

At worst we are 9-3, best 11-1. ( I dont see us winning at Nebraska unless they just slip up like last year)

Big Ten Championship. Iowa Vs. Wisconsin. I could see it going either way but I am biased and we get it in OT. 35-28.

I Just see 2 other teams going to the National championship IMO a Pac-12 team like Stanford vs Random SEC team, so I think that it will be the Rose Bowl. I think we will lose though Vs. an Oregon team, since Stanford has the easier schedule this year. 11-2.

Worst we are is 9-3 and we go to the outback bowl (losses to Nebraska Mich and Mich. St.)

[Turd Ferguson]

Sorry Studd, but there's no way Iowa gets 11 wins. I'd say they are a 7-10 win team depending on how things shake out.

Here are mine for Michigan.

Sept 3 vs Western Michigan 34-10 Win
Sept 10 vs Notre Dame 35-31 Win
Sept 17 vs Eastern Michigan 31-3Win
Sept 24 vs San Diego St 28-7Win
Oct 1 vs Minnesota 58-0 Win
Oct 8 @ Northwestern 42-24 Win
Oct 15 @ Michigan St 28-14 Loss
Oct 29 vs Purdue 36-14 Win
Nov 5 @ Iowa Lean to Win
Nov 12 @ Illinois Lean to Win
Nov 19 vs Nebraska Toss Up
Nov 26 vs Ohio State Toss Up

With that I say we probably drop one we shouldn't and depending on our record in the 5 toss up/predicted losses I say we finish with somewhere between 7 and 10 regular season wins trending towards the lower end of that range. So I'll say my prediction would have to be 8-4 before the bowl game.

[BigJohnStudd]

Sorry Studd, but there's no way Iowa gets 11 wins.

In the regular season I agree, we will get 10 wins with two losses (Mich or Mich state and Nebraska)

Iowa has the best/easiest schedule in the Legends division, No Ohio State and no Wisconsin. I dont see us leaving Lincoln with a win.  Nebraska will have a worse record because they have the hardest schedule in the Big Ten, I see them losing to Wisconsin and a freak loss to someone else (Ohio St and one team in the legends). If Nebraska or by some chance Mich/Mich state gets the Legends division, Iowa will get an easier bowl game and still get 10 regular wins this year. We then get either the Outback or Capital One bowl. Michigan has a hard game with ND next week and that will set the pace for them the rest of the season.

The three top teams this year in the Legends are Michigan, Nebraska, and Iowa, but like I said Iowa has the easiest schedule by far! Our hardest away game is Nebraska and a distant second is Penn St. who we have had our way with for the past decade. Michigan will be tougher than last year, but we have them at home.

I can easily see us losing the Big Ten championship and still winning out bowl game, which depending on our record will be the fiesta bowl, or the outback bowl, which still would put us at 11 wins....

[edgeone]

 syracuse orange
   Thu, Sep 1    Wake Forest    W 36-29    --
    Sat, Sep 10    Rhode Island    4:30 pm (easy win 2-0)   --
    Sat, Sep 17    at (25) USC    8:00 pm    (posiabbly a win but i see a tough loss 2-1)--
    Sat, Sep 24    Toledo    12:00 pm    (3-1)--
    Sat, Oct 1    Rutgers    12:00 pm (3-2)   --
    Sat, Oct 8    at Tulane    8:00 pm    (4-2)--
    Fri, Oct 21    (24) West Virginia    8:00 pm (4-3)   --
    Sat, Oct 29    at Louisville    TBA    (5-3)--
    Sat, Nov 5    at Connecticut    TBA (6-3)   --
    Fri, Nov 11    South Florida    8:00 pm (6-4)   --
    Sat, Nov 26    Cincinnati    TBA    (7-4)--
    Sat, Dec 3    at Pittsburgh    12:00 pm    (7-5)--

i see syracuse being 7-5 maybe another pinstripe bowl.... better than what we have had for so long here tho

[Turd Ferguson]

Studd I think you are falling into the typical homer trap where you just can't possibly see your team losing to a team with less talent. I think on Iowa's schedule they have a lot of losable games.

Iowa State always plays Iowa like it's their Super Bowl so that's never a given.
It's never a guaranteed W when you travel to Happy Valley against Penn State.
Northwestern is the only team in the NCAA that exceeds advanced metric predictions year after year. I wouldn't mark that down as a W quite yet.
You guys could feasibly drop both games to the two Michigan teams.
Then you finish off with a huge game at Nebraska that could knock you out of Division contendership.

That's six possible losses. Realistically Iowa probably won't lose all of those games, but I'd say it's a possibility and I could just as likely see them going 1-5 in those games as I do seeing them go 5-1.

[BigJohnStudd]

Iowa State always plays Iowa like it's their Super Bowl so that's never a given.
It's never a guaranteed W when you travel to Happy Valley against Penn State.
Northwestern is the only team in the NCAA that exceeds advanced metric predictions year after year. I wouldn't mark that down as a W quite yet.
You guys could feasibly drop both games to the two Michigan teams.
Then you finish off with a huge game at Nebraska that could knock you out of Division contendership.

That's six possible losses. Realistically Iowa probably won't lose all of those games, but I'd say it's a possibility and I could just as likely see them going 1-5 in those games as I do seeing them go 5-1.

Iowa State doesn't have it this year, we have won 6 of the last 8. The Dan McCarney era at Iowa State is over and they no longer have Iowa's #. We will win that game.
I will agree that you cant always win at Happy Valley, but we have won 8 of the last 9 against Penn St. We have beat much better Penn St. teams with lesser talent.
Northwestern is a toss up, I will agree to that, but we had conditioning problems last year, hence all the 4th quarter losses when we were ahead. The year before that they NW took out our QB and we had to replace him with a true freshman that never took a live snap in a game, and that true freshman is now our leader and MUCH better than he was 2 years ago.
Both Michigan games could be losses but I don't think they will BOTH be losses. Michigan St. took its biggest beating last year against us and Michigan has us at home, If Denard is healthy Michigan could beat us but it would be close, but I doubt this outcome because our O line is better than UM's D line.
Nebraska is a loss, no argument there.

Of those 6 I see us going 3-3 at the worst and 5-1 at the best. If Iowa was actually ranked this year I would be more on your side with the predictions, but like in 2002,2004, 2008,2009, when Iowa in under the radar we do better than expected.

I have admitted I am biased, but since the total conference record is taken into account for the conference championship, that is the factor of Iowa getting into the conference championship while losing to Nebraska. NU has a much harder schedule. Even if Iowa doesn't go there, which them going is wishful thinking, I cannot see Iowa losing 4 games this year. Totally a bell curve on this one but I see them going 10-2 or 9-3 over 8-4 or 11-1

If Iowa goes less than .500 in those 6 games I will buy you a Coke or Pepsi That's my standard gentleman's wager.

[Turd Ferguson]

So are we ready to rethink our predictions for Iowa yet?

I've still got Michigan at 8-4.

[BigJohnStudd]

So are we ready to rethink our predictions for Iowa yet?

I've still got Michigan at 8-4.

It took Iowa St to go to TRIPLE OVERTIME to finally beat us. Had we gone for it at the 3 yard line in the third quarter instead of a field goal, we would have won that game.

Every time A Michigan fan gets on Iowa's case on a loss to Iowa St. I like to remind them of Michigan Vs. Appalachian State in 2007.

Iowa St is always a up in the air game for us. Iowa St. plays this game like its their super-bowl. If you saw any of that Iowa game this weekend, we did not show up, Coker didnt perform at ALL and Steele Jantz dominated the game. We also settled for 2 field goals when we should have had touchdowns instead.

We lost to Iowa St. in 2002 and went 11-2 and won the big 10 title, so this is game should not be a barometer for our season.

I am leaning towards more 9-3 now but I still have them in contention for the big 10 title, as this game has NO bearing on who goes to Indianapolis.  We either lose to Michigan St or Michigan and Nebraska.

[Turd Ferguson]

I'm not getting on your case about the loss, but I'm saying you can't expect your team to beat everybody that isn't elite.

[Queensryche]

I've gone and rethought my predictions, because Penn State barely beat Temple.

This year ain't gonna be one to remember.

[Turd Ferguson]

I'd say 6-6 or 7-5 is probably about right those last three games are brutal.

[Queensryche]

I hear people out there saying "Temple's gotten good lately" and similar things to say why their 14-10 loss doesn't say anything about the state of the Nittany Lions.

My response: IT'S FREAKIN' TEMPLE

I don't care how good Temple is or has been. Penn State should wipe the floor with them, or at least cover the spread. The only reason Temple lost is because they kept on turning the ball over. Otherwise, Penn State probably loses.

Yeah, Penn State's defense is good. But you also need at least a competent offense to win games (and championships). PSU's offense is nowhere near competent.

[BigJohnStudd]

I hear people out there saying "Temple's gotten good lately" and similar things to say why their 14-10 loss doesn't say anything about the state of the Nittany Lions.

My response: IT'S FREAKIN' TEMPLE

I don't care how good Temple is or has been. Penn State should wipe the floor with them, or at least cover the spread. The only reason Temple lost is because they kept on turning the ball over. Otherwise, Penn State probably loses.

Yeah, Penn State's defense is good. But you also need at least a competent offense to win games (and championships). PSU's offense is nowhere near competent.

Yeah I know how you feel man but in my neck of the woods its the opposite, Iowa is just under performing, Yeah we had one of our best comebacks of all time but it was against a Pitt team that shouldn't have been in the lead in the first place. Don't get me wrong, their running back is good and the Iowa D shut him down, but our D is not nearly as good as it has been in years past. I am starting to lean towards Turds prediction of my team going 8-4, but I still dont see us losing to both Mich St and Mich

IMO people are getting smarter, faster and better at the game of football, almost every team has a chance against any other. The division of talent is really getting blurred as of late, you still have the elites, but they are not as super-human as they have been in the past (see Nebraska, USC, Florida etc etc)
 

[Turd Ferguson]

Very few games are guaranteed wins any more. Unless you are playing a total cupcake like Michigan against Eastern Michigan today then your team's got a chance to cough up a loss to anyone.

I mean Auburn almost lost to Utah State in week one. South Carolina went down to the wire against Navy. There's a lot of parity in college football these days.

[Queensryche]

I hear people out there saying "Temple's gotten good lately" and similar things to say why their 14-10 loss doesn't say anything about the state of the Nittany Lions.

My response: IT'S FREAKIN' TEMPLE

I don't care how good Temple is or has been. Penn State should wipe the floor with them, or at least cover the spread. The only reason Temple lost is because they kept on turning the ball over. Otherwise, Penn State probably loses.

Yeah, Penn State's defense is good. But you also need at least a competent offense to win games (and championships). PSU's offense is nowhere near competent.

Yeah I know how you feel man but in my neck of the woods its the opposite, Iowa is just under performing, Yeah we had one of our best comebacks of all time but it was against a Pitt team that shouldn't have been in the lead in the first place. Don't get me wrong, their running back is good and the Iowa D shut him down, but our D is not nearly as good as it has been in years past. I am starting to lean towards Turds prediction of my team going 8-4, but I still dont see us losing to both Mich St and Mich

IMO people are getting smarter, faster and better at the game of football, almost every team has a chance against any other. The division of talent is really getting blurred as of late, you still have the elites, but they are not as super-human as they have been in the past (see Nebraska, USC, Florida etc etc)
 

What helped those schools in the past was that they were the ones that would get on TV all the time. But nowadays, with college football growing as it has and having the constant presence it does on both network and cable TV, you don't need to go to a megapower to be seen on TV or get noticed by NFL scouts. Plus, with the emergence of BCS-busters like TCU and Boise State, talented players now can go to those non-traditional powers and have an excellent shot at playing in big games.

[Queensryche]

At this point my mind is boggled.

HOW is Penn State 7-1? I thought for sure after the Temple game they'd have lost two or three more.

I still don't see them winning any of their last three though.

Also: I'd been going back and forth with some Wisconsin Badgers fan over how good the Badgers were. I said they played a garbage schedule last night, they hadn't had a real road game, and that Michigan State would challenge them, if not win outright. He laughed at me and said Wisconsin would DESTROY Michigan State.

Now I feel vindicated.

[JDub]

Also: I'd been going back and forth with some Wisconsin Badgers fan over how good the Badgers were. I said they played a garbage schedule last night, they hadn't had a real road game, and that Michigan State would challenge them, if not win outright. He laughed at me and said Wisconsin would DESTROY Michigan State.

Now I feel vindicated.

Obviously not that big of a Badger fan because that place has always been a house of horrors for Wisconsin. When Wisconsin went to punt the ball I said "it's going to get blocked for a TD" sure enough. They could have won that game, maybe even should have based on how it started. But they made too many mistakes, MSU had their luck as usual, and dumb coaching decision to call TOs on their final drive to give them more time because they wanted to be greedy and try to win in regulation. At that point (under a minute left) the way the game played out you should be lucky to even have a chance for OT why the hell would you call TOs for them when all they need is one big play to be in FG range and win. And that 4 seconds for the last play might not even have been there had they not used their TOs because MSU was letting the time run. It was a lucky play to end it but they gave them the opportunity for it, stupid stupid stupid.

[Turd Ferguson]

Well the Hawkeyes are officially not winning 10 games now. Michigan is at 7-1 which is about where I expected them at the beginning of the year. I'm thinking they'll most likely split the last four games and end up 9-3, but sweeping them is not out of the realm of possibility. I revised my predictions for the rest of the season.

[Queensryche]

I originally had Penn State going 8-4. But after the Temple game, I changed it to 6-6.

I shoulda stuck with my original prediction. And part of me is starting to believe they can pull a win outta their ass against one of the last three.

[BigJohnStudd]

Well the Hawkeyes are officially not winning 10 games now. Michigan is at 7-1 which is about where I expected them at the beginning of the year. I'm thinking they'll most likely split the last four games and end up 9-3, but sweeping them is not out of the realm of possibility. I revised my predictions for the rest of the season.

Actually you are wrong, If Iowa wins out and goes to a bowl and wins they will have 10 wins.... Just sayin...

Come one man are you going to get on my case every time Iowa loses? I know we should have won that game but give me a break.. These were Predictions. If I was 100% on the year for Iowa back in august people would call me a loon... losing to Iowa St in triple overtime? losing to Minnesota by 1... no one would have guessed those.

[Turd Ferguson]

Studd I think you are falling into the typical homer trap where you just can't possibly see your team losing to a team with less talent. I think on Iowa's schedule they have a lot of losable games.

Some people can foresee teams losing to inferior talent. I'm only giving you a hard time because your prediction was really homerific.

[BigJohnStudd]

Sorry Studd, but there's no way Iowa gets 11 wins. I'd say they are a 7-10 win team depending on how things shake out.

Nov 5 @ Iowa Lean to Win

We may not get 11 wins but we won this one

In fairness though the big 10 is a complete shoot out, short of Minnesota, Indiana, and Northwestern most everyone else has a chance in this one.

It may be that your sole purpose in life is simply to serve as a bad example.